Russia-Ukraine War
The war in Ukraine has reached a revealing phase. Russia has demonstrated that it is far weaker than many feared, struggling to secure even a quarter of Ukrainian territory after years of fighting, at enormous cost.
Strategic Implications
From a cold strategic perspective, the war has revealed clear limits to Russia's conventional military power. This matters for how the West thinks about European security and the credibility of Russian threats.
Space-Based Warfare
The war in Ukraine has been the first major conflict in history to rely so heavily on commercial space infrastructure. Ukrainian command, control, and battlefield coordination have been dramatically enabled by satellite communications. This war has made one thing clear: space is no longer a supporting domain—it is central.
European Position
A negotiated settlement has been floated, with Russia signalling openness to talks and Ukraine expressing conditional willingness. Europe's rejection of compromise while lacking the means to impose military victory has created strategic tension with the United States.
Implications for Western Strategy
The conflict has accelerated the breakdown of the post-Cold War security architecture and forced a reassessment of defence priorities, energy independence, and alliance relationships.
Russia-Ukraine War
Context & Analysis
The war in Ukraine has reached a revealing phase. Russia has demonstrated that it is far weaker than many feared, struggling to secure even a quarter of Ukrainian territory after years of fighting, at enormous cost.
Strategic Implications
From a cold strategic perspective, the war has revealed clear limits to Russia's conventional military power. This matters for how the West thinks about European security and the credibility of Russian threats.
Space-Based Warfare
The war in Ukraine has been the first major conflict in history to rely so heavily on commercial space infrastructure. Ukrainian command, control, and battlefield coordination have been dramatically enabled by satellite communications. This war has made one thing clear: space is no longer a supporting domain—it is central.
European Position
A negotiated settlement has been floated, with Russia signalling openness to talks and Ukraine expressing conditional willingness. Europe's rejection of compromise while lacking the means to impose military victory has created strategic tension with the United States.
Implications for Western Strategy
The conflict has accelerated the breakdown of the post-Cold War security architecture and forced a reassessment of defence priorities, energy independence, and alliance relationships.