Strategic
Essays
We Are Being Tested
Britain is failing to understand that it is a Maritime power first. The global geopolitical situation lends itself perfectly for us to adopt the 'Gatekeeper Role' and ensure open sea lanes. But we are unprepared and haven't realised this strategically.
The Wrong Century
Professor Westad's pre-1914 analogy is illuminating. It is pointing at the wrong historical moment.
Same Theater, Different Maps
Israel went to war with a map. America went with a grievance.
The Oldest Lesson
The US campaign in Iran was supposed to clear the board before a strategic withdrawal. Four weeks in, Iran operationally controls the Strait of Hormuz and is earning more per barrel than before the bombs fell. A geography-first analysis of what went wrong and why the map was always going to win.
Iran: Why This Isn't Iraq
Why the Iraq comparison flatters Iran's enemies and lets Britain off the hook
Notes on the World
A brief essay on demographics, power, and the end of the post-war order. The global system is breaking because several long-running structural forces are converging at the same time.
Greenland, Ukraine, and the Shape of the Coming Order
What most people miss about Greenland is that it is not a standalone issue. American posturing over Greenland is directly connected to the war in Ukraine, Europe's refusal to accept a negotiated peace, and the strategic reality of space, Arctic geography, and missile defence.
Was the Strike on Iran a Strategic Mistake?
Tactical brilliance, long-term uncertainty — and a West unsure what it stands for. The only viable strategic endpoint with Iran is regime change.